Archive - Leon's Weekly Stock Ideas

One man’s poison is another man’s poison

The war in Ukraine will have no winners. Estimates from the internet: the EU could lose 1% of GDP or Euro 175 billion (this number is probably low…

Jul 25, 2022 •

Who is responsible for record-high oil prices and record-high inflation? President Biden calls it “Putin’s price hike” and blames oil companies for…

Jul 6, 2022 •

June 2022

The law of anticipated consequences…

What is the point of sanctioning Russia? The Law of anticipated consequences states that “most actions are taken to achieve anticipated, rather than…

Jun 14, 2022 •

May 2022

So many worlds, so much to do…

Too many goals…can they be achieved, and how soon?

May 31, 2022 •

“There never was a good war or a bad peace”. (Benjamin Franklin, 1783)

Outlook: Reducing Demand in a period of Tight Commodity Supply

May 17, 2022 •

Outlook: interest rates keep going up…

Interest rates are moving up, and equity investors are responding in a predictable way by selling highly valued stocks and buying “cheaper” stocks…

May 3, 2022 •

April 2022

Outlook: It is a long way to go…

I think that every equity strategist who wanted to publish a note on the impending economic slowdown has done so by now. The stock market however keeps…

Apr 4, 2022 •

March 2022

Macro Outlook: Will there be peace for our time?

It would be logical to expect that negative shocks from spiking commodity prices, higher interest rates and war-related headlines should slow the…

Mar 28, 2022 •

History does not repeat itself

Macro Outlook: History does not repeat itself

Mar 21, 2022 •

Macro Outlook: The quest for kosher oil and pareve gas

Despite the ubiquitous and always-on internet it is next to impossible to understand the true situation on the ground in Ukraine: too much censorship…

Mar 14, 2022 •

Macro Outlook: The new Iron Curtain will be more expensive than the old one…

The sanctions imposed on Russia are inflationary. They will disrupt availability of certain food items, spare parts, electronics, and household items.

Mar 6, 2022 •

February 2022

Macro Outlook: Looking Further East

The conflict in Ukraine has taken the worst possible turn and resembles the invasion of Czechoslovakia by the USSR in 1968.

Feb 27, 2022 •

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